SI
Stereotaxis, Inc. (STXS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue $7.47M (+9% y/y) with recurring revenue $5.50M (+29% y/y) and system revenue $1.96M; gross margin 54% .
- Revenue beat Wall Street consensus ($7.47M vs $6.88M*) and EPS was in line (-$0.07 vs -$0.0725*) as reported estimates involved 4 covering analysts*; revenue beat and EPS inline .
- Guidance reiterated: double-digit FY25 growth, system revenue $2–$3M per quarter, recurring revenue scaling to ~$7M in Q4; assumptions include modest GenesisX contribution in Europe and no system revenue from China .
- Catalysts: MAGiC EU commercialization (active at ~20% of customers), first GenesisX order, first commercial GenesisX installation targeted for summer, with multiple US/EU regulatory reviews progressing (MAGiC US 2H25; GenesisX US summer; MAGiC Sweep and EMAGIN 3Q approval expected) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Map-iT catheter adoption: “Map-iT sales in the first quarter were over $1 million… growing 30% sequentially in the first quarter from the fourth quarter” .
- MAGiC EU launch traction: “At approximately 20% of our hospital customers, we’ve got through… and begun commercial sales… reiterate… MAGiC revenue in Europe will reach approximately $1 million per quarter by the end of this year” .
- GenesisX momentum: “Successful demonstrations… EHRA and HRS… first GenesisX purchase order… preparing for the first commercial installation… this summer” .
What Went Wrong
- Profitability/margins: System gross margin 15% and recurring margin impacted by acquisition-related accounting; operating loss widened y/y ($5.9M vs $4.7M) .
- US capital environment: “Tougher capital environment… until we get GenesisX on the market and… catheters… approved” .
- China uncertainty: Despite Genesis approval in China, macro/tariff dynamics make timing of orders uncertain; guidance excludes China system revenue .
Financial Results
Summary vs Prior Quarters
Segment Revenue Breakdown
Segment Gross Margins
KPIs and Cash Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We’ve started the year with solid execution on key commercial and innovation efforts… beginning to demonstrate the tangible reality and commercial impact of our comprehensive innovation strategy.” — David Fischel .
- “At approximately 20% of our hospital customers, we’ve… begun commercial sales [of MAGiC]… conservatively generate a couple of hundred thousand dollars of revenue this quarter… scale to ~$1 million per quarter by the end of this year.” — David Fischel .
- “Gross margin for the first quarter was 54%… recurring revenue gross margin 68% and system gross margin 15%… expect recurring revenue margins to get back to a normal level by this year’s third quarter.” — Kimberly Peery .
- “We expect double-digit revenue growth… system revenue… ~$2–$3M… recurring revenue… reaching ~$7M in the fourth quarter… assume only modest contributions from GenesisX in Europe and no system revenue from China.” — David Fischel .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital/backlog and regional dynamics: US interest exists but purchases likely post-approvals; Europe shows consistent Genesis orders; China upside contingent on macro/tariffs .
- MAGiC adoption patterns: First orders of 5–10 catheters, positive feedback, repeat orders emerging; 2-year conversion to full MAGiC penetration in EU; US adoption expected to be quicker post-approval .
- Regulatory timelines: MAGiC US PMA progressing with detailed FDA review; remaining tests underway; GenesisX US approval viewed as realistic in summer .
- Financing models for GenesisX: Considering purchase, leasing, and placement models with catheter commitments to accelerate installed base growth .
- Case mix outlook: Robotic platform’s strongest value in complex VT/PVC/congenital cases first, with potential to expand into SVTs/AF as adoption deepens .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs consensus: Revenue $7.47M vs $6.88M* (beat); EPS -$0.07 vs -$0.0725* (inline). Estimates based on 4 analysts for both revenue and EPS* .
- FY 2025 consensus: Revenue $32.85M*, EPS -$0.255*, Target Price $4.25* (4 estimates*) — management reiterated double-digit growth and recurring ramp to $7M by Q4, implying potential upward bias to recurring estimates if MAGiC EU scales as planned and US approvals arrive on schedule .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Q1 2025 Actuals vs Estimates
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue mix is pivoting toward higher-margin recurring with strong Map-iT adoption and MAGiC EU commercialization, supporting the path to reduced cash burn in 2025 .
- Near-term system revenue variability persists, but GenesisX and continued Genesis orders in Europe underpin the $2–$3M quarterly system revenue framework; GenesisX installation this summer is a proof-point catalyst .
- Regulatory cadence remains robust (six active reviews), with pivotal approvals expected (MAGiC US 2H25; GenesisX US summer; MAGiC Sweep/EMAGIN Q3), expanding TAM into mapping and vascular indications .
- Recurring gross margins should normalize as acquisition accounting rolls off by Q3, providing margin tailwinds while tariffs are expected to be immaterial (<1% expense impact) .
- Guidance conservatism (no China system revenue; modest GenesisX EU contribution) sets a base case with upside optionality from China normalization and US approvals .
- Balance sheet ($10.7M cash, no debt) and modest Q1 cash use (-$1.8M FCF) support execution through key 2025 milestones without dependence on near-term external financing .
- Trading lens: watch for validation events — first GenesisX clinical install, MAGiC EU ramp, and US approvals — as narrative shifts from product demos to real-world clinical utility and scaling .